15/05/14 Reverse order Timestamp format
Welcome to the Project India live blog.
We will be keeping you up to date throughout the day with our journalists from across India and the UK. Our live-blogging team right now include Patrick, Sven and Confidence. Watch the results come in here.
The commentators have got the BJP ahead at the moment - and even several Congress leaders have conceded they won’t get a majority. Senior Congress politician Rashid Alvi has been talking about the possibility of pulling together a “secular coalition” since last night, and Sandeep Dikshit MP has said a “win is unlikely”.
There’s still the chance that Congress can pull something off and be part of some sort of government – but at the moment it’s looking like the BJP’s day.
Why wait for the results? Posters in Banaras have already been put up congratulating Narendra Modi…
The Lok Sabha leads so far based on 436 seats, according to The Hindu, suggest 243 going to the BJP, 67 to Congress and others on 128.
BJP is leading in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh.
Congress is ahead in Shillong.
Indian National Lok Dal leading in Gurgaon.
Kannur sees CPI (M) in the lead.
Shiv Sena is ahead in Ramtek in Maharashtra.
And here's a quick look at the overall tally, courtesy Rediff.com
And while super-excited TV anchors talk nineteen-to-the-dozen -- more on that in a post to follow -- about the trends, with evident glee at those trailing, here is look at the counting process
Manu Singhvi of Congress has said that there is “no chance” of a change of leadership in his party, despite the dire results that seem to be coming in for his party.
Singhvi is currently sparring with hyperactive CNN-IBN Rajdeep Sardesai, but seems to be keeping cool so far.
In the Kashmir Valley, it doesn't look too bright for @abdullah_omar at this point
CNN-IBN was one of the first to make the call that the BJP and Modi have won. Here's a clip.
Update from Project India's Yotsana Tripathi from New Delhi's Gautam Budd Nagar
BJP-Shiv Sena coalition is leading in all six constituencies in Mumbai. This would break the Congress-Nationalist Congress hold on the city. So far it sounds like a landslide away from the incumbents. It was only a few months ago that Congress and friends seemed so sure of victory.
AAP in India’s largest city are also training, with former RBS banker and AAP candidate Meera Sanyal a distant third in Mumbai South.
Twitter chatter is almost unanimous on who the next Indian Prime Minister will be. There is already a tone of celebration with some calling it a ‘Modi tsunami’. People seem content to see the Congress loss. Some have taken to sarcasm to score this point -- as seen in the tweet below:
At least the markets seem happy with the apparently impending premiership of Narendra Modi. The Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex leapt by more than 6 per cent to over 25,000 – its biggest leap in five years.
The rupee has also grown 0.8% against the dollar.
Here's an idea... but it's not the real Modi.
Narendra Modi stood for parliament in two constituencies this election – Varanasi in Uttar Pradesh and Vadodara in Gujarat. Perhaps unsurprisingly he is leading by pretty huge margins in both. This would have been a calculation. Vadodara (also known as Baroda) is a BJP stronghold in the state where Modi is chief minister. And his campaign in Varanasi is to show he has traction outside his home ground in one of India’s most historic constituencies.
As Modi looks like he has won both, he will have to resign from one of them – which will it be?
Here's an infographic on projected results. Have a look here.
Amnesty International's secretary general raises an important question:
Senior Congress leader Rajeev Shukla: "We accept defeat. We are ready to sit in the opposition."
Meanwhile at the AAP HQ...
The scene at AAP HQ in Delhi
Sharing a light moment (though Modi as PM won't be seen as 'light' by many Indians)...
Bollywood actor Hema Malini of the BJP leading in Mathura, well ahead of BSP's Yogesh Dwivedi.
Agra, too, appears to be going the BJP way, with Ram Shankar Katheria ahead of BSP's Narayan Singh Suman, IANS reports.
The BJP is planning a big party tonight to celebrate its impending victory -- with over 300kg of ladoos ready for consumption in New Delhi.
It looks increasingly likely Modi and his party will be ready for them. The BJP has just reached the crucial point of gaining 272 seats, meaning it will be able to form a government on its own, without the need of complex coalition deals with smaller parties.
This would be the first time a party has been able to do this since 1984.
Modi's first tweet of the day...
So far it looks like the BJP is doing everything it was predicted to do. It is set to retain major strongholds like Gujarat, where it is leading in all seats. It is also ahead in places such as Maharashtra, where Congress have been favourites in the past. Meanwhile, the Bombay Stock Exchange has risen by more than 6%.
Our first video update of the day - the trends as they stand this morning.
A representative of the RSS, the right wing paramilitary group from which Narendra Modi originated, is unsurprisingly happy with the election results so far.
Senior RSS functionary Ram Madhav said of the predicted BJP landslide, “It’s a matter of pleasure for us.”
'The minority community may have voted against Modi, but first-time voters rallied around him.' Rediff.com senior editor Saisuresh Sivaswamy makes sense of the BJP's sweeping victory.
Here's a report from Rachitaa Gupta in Delhi. She's been talking to AAP activist Gajendra Sharma about the results.
Modi fans are celebrating across the country, and there's much jubilation on social media. Here's a voter, who is happy for Modi and the BJP.
Women supporters in Delhi distribute sweets and celebrate Narendra Modi's win in the LokSabha2014. #Results2014 Photo: Yotsana Tripathi
Festivities aren't just limited to India either...
A group of Congress volunteers gathered outside the party's headquarters asking that Priyanka Gandhi enters into active politics to help rescue the party. They claim results would have been different had Priyanka campaigned earlier.
Congress MP for Mumbai north central Priya Dutt has conceded defeat to her BJP rival: "With great humility, I accept defeat. Congratulate Poonam Mahajan and BJP for this huge win." ... But when she spoke to Project India just over a month ago, she was much more positive: “This time people are much more aware of what is happening and who they are voting against." Dutt, sister and daughter to Bollywood stars, won by a huge majority in 2009, so it is one of many big blows to Congress today.
Sri Lankan president Mahinda Rajapaksa is one of the first international leaders to officially congratulate Narendra Modi. Tweeted, of course.
And here is UK prime minister offering his congratulations to Narendra Modi.
UK foreign secretary, William Hague, has also passed on his best wishes to Modi and says he hopes to forge a closer partnership with India.
Here's our second video blog of the day, as Modi's victory is further confirmed.
A snapshot of how Chandigarh is responding. Saba Sodhi reports:
The conversation here, as expected, is about Narendra Modi. With a current lead of about 40,142 votes, Kirron Kher of the BJP is all but the declared winner of the parliamentary race from this Union Territory. But Kher is not really the headline, and features more as a footnote in political discussions around the city.
As Anup Debnath, a voter I spoke to noted, it’s not really the BJP or Kher that he voted for.
“An important thing to remember is that a lot of people are voting for Modi, the person, and it’s more a win for him than it is for his political party," he said. "Because the way that BJP contested, the way they lobbied for our votes and campaigned, it was all riding on a single man, and that is who we voted for, by way of whoever the representative is.”
Hema Kumar, who works as domestic help in Sector 9, said she voted for the BJP mainly because of the oratory skills of Modi.
“There is power to his words," she said. "When he says something, we feel that something will get done. For years we have been voting for the Congress, and we wanted change."
But while most people agree that Modi will bring winds of change, not everyone is very excited about the change he will bring.
Rajanbir Virk, a student at Manipal University is back for his summer break. He is apprehensive.
“I’m actually terrified about the moral policing that may come about, looking at the affiliations of Modi," he said. "I understand why he’s in power – the Sensex shows us just that, but aren’t we more than an economy? What about the social consequences?”
And the LGBTQ community of Chandigarh has a lot to say about those social consequences, and how Modi’s rise to power will affect them as a minority community. But regardless of that, many citizens remain hopeful.
“Let’s get this straight. I voted for Modi because he was the best of the lot, not because he was who I would ideally want in power," said Kiran Sodhi. "Let’s not discuss the social implications right now, and for the record, most parties have similar histories to his by way of communal violence.
“In a position of such limelight, especially with the controversies surrounding him, I have hope that there will be no substantial problems in that arena, and the economy will grow strong, and we can climb out of this pit we’re all stranded in.”
Mamata Banerjee, the chief minister in West Bengal, says her All India Trinamool Congress party has won 34 of 42 seats in the state -- up from 19 in 2009. There are indications that Congress is leading in five states and the BJP in three.
The big losers are the Communist Party of India (Marxist) who were key players in the Left Front coalition that held power in the area for 34 uninterrupted years until 2011. The party is now looking at holding just one constituency.
Social Media is awash with chatter about Narendra Modi and his historic victory, reports Rachitaa Gupta. See this storify from her:
Rahul and Sonia Gandhi have both accepted responsibility for Congress defeat. Sonia said she takes responsibility as the party president and hopes the new government will not compromise on the country’s unity and integrity.
Rahul on his part also said he held himself responsible for the defeat.
Former senior editor of Outlook magazine Ajith Pillai: "There was an immense amount of public displeasure with the Congress party and the government led by it... No-one knows much about [Modi] but his campaign was very well crafted."
And the celebrations continue...
Shashi Tharoor, Minister of state for human resource development, has won the Thiruvananthapuram Lok Sabha seat. He defeated his main rival Rajagopal of the BJP by 14,501 votes.
The AAP was touted as the new threat on the block. And many campaign managers had devised strategies to neutralise the AAP. But as it turned out, it was a relatively unknown enemy, NOTA, that slipped through their defences. See this interesting storify from Rachitaa Gupta:
Gautam Mody, general secretary of the New Trade Union Initiative, says a Modi government will face demands from both the people who elected it and the corporate interests who financed it.
“Each one of you have worked like you were Narendra Modi. I bow before you… I spent just 50 minutes in Vadodara but won by a vote margin 5 lakh votes,” Modi says in his first speech after winning.
Modi also said his government will be for all the people of India promising to work hard for the citizens of the country.
Modi may have won unambiguously, but that doesn't silence his critics. See Rachita Gupta's storify:
Modi's critics have been exceptionally harsh with their comments online. But, it seems he has supporters among children.
"Modi has become CEO of India - now he has to look after the entire company." Defence expert and columnist Ramananda Sengupta tells Project India his thoughts about some of the challenges facing Narendra Modi now he is set to become prime minister - from foreign policy and infrastructure to a weakened Congress and wilder elements in his own party.
As the Project India team prepares to wrap up this live blog, here's a quick round-up of the fate of Arvind Kejriwal, the AAP chief and a favourite for many, many Indians, from Confidence Uwazuruike:
"Kejriwal expressed his disappointment with his party’s result in Delhi, where it did not win any of the seven parliamentary seats. His decision to resign from his government in Delhi after 49 days seems to have cost his party.
It was also disappointing for many voters to see that Kejriwal himself not doing well, losing the Varanasi seat to Narendra Modi for a margin of more than 250,000 votes.
Kejriwal’s decision to contest from Varanasi made it one of the most keenly watched constituencies in this year’s election. His winning the Times Man of the Year Award ahead of Modi heated up the contest. However, as results have shown, he clearly overestimated his chances and this has cost him a place in Parliament. It has been a disappointing day for the AAP today."
The top upsets of the day? Check out Rachitaa Gupta's storify:
And here's our final video, Natalie Perry wrapping up the day:
We enjoyed bring you this live blog. Thanks for staying with us, folks!